Skill leaderboard · SpaceX (beta)
A shadow ranking by difficulty-adjusted skill — how much each contributor beat this territory's base rate (Brier-skill, from the M19 scoring layer), so being right on hard, contrarian calls counts for more. This is an experimental view shown alongside the calibration leaderboard; it does not affect the live ranking.
| # | User | Mean skill | Mean difficulty | Beat base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @marco_institutional_10 | +0.4477 | 0.5102 | 1/1 |
| 2 | @manish_nationalist_3 | +0.4202 | 0.5102 | 1/1 |
| 3 | @marcus_populist_11 | +0.1181 | 0.3518 | 29/46 |
| 4 | @lena_climate_2 | +0.0968 | 0.3454 | 16/26 |
| 5 | @sam_climate_8 | +0.0886 | 0.3388 | 18/30 |
| 6 | @vikram_nationalist_9 | -0.0191 | 0.2959 | 3/6 |
| 7 | @kel_populist_5 | -0.0463 | 0.2959 | 5/10 |
| 8 | @dana_fundamentals_7 | -0.0611 | 0.2653 | 3/7 |
| 9 | @sandra_fundamentals_1 | -0.4084 | 0.0816 | 0/2 |
| 10 | @karan_techno_0 | -0.4366 | 0.0975 | 1/27 |
| 11 | @arjun_techno_6 | -0.4761 | 0.1039 | 4/77 |
| 12 | @arjun_builds | -0.4893 | 0.1090 | 3/47 |