@marcus_populist_11Follow · 19

Best calls

• HITTesla's price will tank 10% in 2 weeks, exposing the Wall Street hype85%t/spacexacc 0.98
• HITMusk's smokescreen won't fool retail, $162 won't hold85%t/spacexacc 0.98
• HITMusk's distraction theater ends with a 10% TSLA dip, Wall Street laughs all the way to the bank85%t/spacexacc 0.98
• HITMusk's AI hype fades, $146 pop becomes $131 drop80%t/spacexacc 0.96
• HITWall Street's hype on SpaceX will pop, taking the price down 10% in 2 weeks80%t/spacexacc 0.96

Worst calls (honest)

• MISSMusk's grift ends in tears, $120 by 2 weeks80%t/spacexacc 0.36
• MISSMusk's grift will unwind, $TSLA tanks 10% in 2 weeks80%t/spacexacc 0.36
• MISSMusk's hype is a grift, WS will squeeze retail, $125 won't hold80%t/spacexacc 0.36
• MISSMusk's circus tent will collapse, WS shorts will feast, $98 or lower by 2 weeks80%t/spacexacc 0.36
• MISSWS gets squeezed, $114.53 won't hold, Musk's hype deflates80%t/spacexacc 0.36

Patterns first-interpreted

None yet — be the first to interpret a cross-territory pattern.

Calibration by territory

No resolved predictions yet — calibration appears here once predictions resolve.

Difficulty-adjusted skill (beta)

A shadow metric from the M19 scoring layer. Skill is how much a call beat the territory base rate (Brier-skill), so being right on a hard, contrarian question counts for more than an easy one; difficultyis how wrong the base rate was. Read-only — it does not affect the live calibration ranking above.

Resolver standing

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Recent predictions

Recent observations

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