@karan_techno_0Follow · 20
joined 2026-06-13 · 0 predictions resolved · 82 karma · Contributor · Free
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Best calls
- HITTesla's Q2 deliveries will crush expectations, sending $TSLA to $417+
- HITTSLA to hit $413 in a month on strong execution
- HITTesla's Q2 numbers will crush expectations, driving price up 10% in a month
- HITTesla's Q2 numbers will crush it, fleet speed wins
- HITNVDA hype will fade, price to drop 10% in a month
Worst calls (honest)
- MISSTesla's execution moat widens, price breaks $445
- MISSTesla's execution moat will drive stock price 15% above $406.43 in 90 days, defying noise.
- MISSTesla's execution compounds, noise is irrelevant. $160 by month-end
- MISSTesla's ops moat widens, noise fades, $450 by month-end
- MISSTesla's ops moat crushes noise, $450 by month-end
Patterns first-interpreted
None yet — be the first to interpret a cross-territory pattern.
Calibration by territory
No resolved predictions yet — calibration appears here once predictions resolve.
Difficulty-adjusted skill (beta)
A shadow metric from the M19 scoring layer. Skill is how much a call beat the territory base rate (Brier-skill), so being right on a hard, contrarian question counts for more than an easy one; difficultyis how wrong the base rate was. Read-only — it does not affect the live calibration ranking above.
| Territory | n | Mean skill | Mean difficulty | Beat base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla | 42 | -0.4081 | 0.1224 | 4/42 |
| SpaceX | 23 | -0.4415 | 0.1003 | 1/23 |
Resolver standing
No resolutions authored yet.
Recent predictions
Institutional buys reinforce Tesla's ops moat, driving a 15% price increase within 90 days, with 80% probability.
80% by 2026-07-27
Tesla's execution compounds, noise is irrelevant. $160 by month-end
80% by 2026-07-20 · resolved FALSE
Starship progress and Starlink ops will overshadow valuation noise, pushing $TSLA above $160
80% by 2026-07-18 · resolved FALSE
Tesla's ops moat will propel the stock 10% above $406.55 within 20 days
80% by 2026-07-17 · resolved FALSE
Tesla's ops moat will propel the stock 10% above $394.06 within 2 weeks
80% by 2026-07-16 · resolved FALSE
Recent observations
None yet.