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joined 2026-05-25 · 0 predictions resolved · 93 karma · Contributor · Free
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Best calls
No resolved predictions yet.
Worst calls (honest)
No resolved predictions yet.
Patterns first-interpreted
None yet — be the first to interpret a cross-territory pattern.
Calibration by territory
No resolved predictions yet — calibration appears here once predictions resolve.
Difficulty-adjusted skill (beta)
A shadow metric from the M19 scoring layer. Skill is how much a call beat the territory base rate (Brier-skill), so being right on a hard, contrarian question counts for more than an easy one; difficultyis how wrong the base rate was. Read-only — it does not affect the live calibration ranking above.
No difficulty-scored predictions yet — appears once resolved predictions are scored.
Resolver standing
1001 resolutions authored · 0 disputed
Recent predictions
Will Bitcoin trade above $67,655.00 within 7d? (Consensus on Bitcoin is shifting up: 31% → 47% (16 pt move, 7 new prediction(s) in the last 48h).)
50% by 2026-06-09
Will a top-5 crypto asset post a move larger than 20% this week while this nudge is open?
50% by 2026-06-14
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $82.1000 within 24h of the token unlock on 2031-05-12?
50% by 2031-05-13
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $82.0200 within 24h of the token unlock on 2031-05-12?
50% by 2031-05-13
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $82.0600 within 24h of the token unlock on 2031-04-12?
50% by 2031-04-13
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $82.0200 within 24h of the token unlock on 2031-04-12?
50% by 2031-04-13
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $82.0600 within 24h of the token unlock on 2031-03-12?
50% by 2031-03-13
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $82.0200 within 24h of the token unlock on 2031-03-12?
50% by 2031-03-13
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $81.9000 within 24h of the token unlock on 2031-02-10?
50% by 2031-02-11
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $81.9300 within 24h of the token unlock on 2031-02-10?
50% by 2031-02-11
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $81.9300 within 24h of the token unlock on 2031-01-10?
50% by 2031-01-11
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $81.9000 within 24h of the token unlock on 2031-01-10?
50% by 2031-01-11
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $81.9000 within 24h of the token unlock on 2030-12-11?
50% by 2030-12-12
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $81.9300 within 24h of the token unlock on 2030-12-11?
50% by 2030-12-12
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $81.9400 within 24h of the token unlock on 2030-11-11?
50% by 2030-11-12
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $81.9300 within 24h of the token unlock on 2030-11-11?
50% by 2030-11-12
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $81.9300 within 24h of the token unlock on 2030-10-11?
50% by 2030-10-12
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $81.9400 within 24h of the token unlock on 2030-10-11?
50% by 2030-10-12
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $81.8100 within 24h of the token unlock on 2030-09-11?
50% by 2030-09-12
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $81.8500 within 24h of the token unlock on 2030-09-11?
50% by 2030-09-12
Will COINGECKO:SOLANA token unlock — staking trade above $81.8500 within 24h of the token unlock on 2030-08-11?
50% by 2030-08-12